[today that Beijing Morning Post, Beijing used the average price of 1.3 million yuan a house, real estate, high turnover rate]
Sa return trip, and friends talk, the general feeling Sa Su is a wooden club. Have this feeling is normal, because I also think a lot of things difficult to understand the country.
, for example, newspapers in the airport point of view, the capital of the Northwest decided to continue to receive a road toll for 20 years, by some law experts who got inside to challenge violations of the State Council, \ Which has a lot of imaginative things, and ultimately, the city government humility that we receive this money because of \
road toll and what is it? You have to pay is the bridge crossing the thing that it exists. I think there are a high school history textbook illustrations, reflecting the toll charge of things in Europe, showing that this is not new. However, I remember that the map of Europe to express how dark feudal theocratic society is unreasonable, and now we have progress here, which people feel more funny things.
and let I do not understand is that the city authorities explained that through trade in human beings was not reasonable in the Qing Dynasty, when the law can not help it. But you can be because of this, the phenomenon of trafficking in persons, said the city appeared in the \
explain this illogical to me difficult to understand the wooden club.
asked the country's friends, probably two answers. First, Hussein said that China's good things you always know Why do not we say it? Many positive things you see, we live in and the negative things around to be a collision. The road toll and you feel funny, we pay, and can laugh. Second, Hussein you want to know how to explain this illogical published in the newspaper can it? To explain than the need to explain, is a step forward. Can be released, than can not post, but also a progressive, law academics embarrassment to the authorities, still doing the doing, not to catch up, this is progress, right?
are right, thank you.
However, there are also difficult to understand domestic friends to do. The most typical is the price.
out of a movie two days ago, a critic Road, \ This is with the nature of the old joke among the students, Zhang guide, of course not crazy, just to express his brother did not understand his work. However, China's housing prices, real mad.
back, living in a district where Chinese Academy of Sciences, a house here last year rose to ten thousand, it is very surprising, rose in early twenty thousand, I think someone must have lost his mind, and I am coming back this time , the price is outrageously is thirty-two thousand per square meter, this time down the word Hussein's head can be described only.
prices in the world has never seen such a rise method.
Beijing within the Fourth Ring, the average house price has more than twenty thousand per square meter, and many experts still say the price is not high, because of Tokyo's cheaper than the high. Patriotic to say, the house can be sold in Japan this price should not be sold in China do it?
although experts promises, but as a somewhat rational person, or else the ability to accept a return even though a great expert, but if the expert research I can eat ten pounds of raw beef meal is still healthy, Hussein, or knew that he was talking nonsense. I know my body, out of this man is not an expert.
unit is the family needs a house, China and Japan , GDP is almost the same (some say over, others said no super), while the number of households in China seven or eight times that of Japan, so the level of family income much lower than Japan (and even for ordinary working families up to ten times more). For an annual salary of 6,000,000 yen in Tokyo, Japan, the staff, the independent supply of a 3,000 million yen worth of housing, equivalent to 5 years of salary, every month the loan on the light 5-6 million yen easy to loose. For an annual salary of 10 million white-collar workers in Beijing, China, the independent supply a value of 150 million yuan of housing, needed his salary for 15 years, also 5-6, one thousand yuan a month, I am afraid there is no Japanese so easy. Moreover, Japan is the annual salary of 6,000,
air force 1 shoes,000 yen of ordinary wages, and China 10 million annual salary, not a common phenomenon (if I'm wrong, please tell me I was Bangchui Mody). And I did not address the number of square meters of housing in Japan, not including the balcony, common area is also very little calculation, the purchase of the houses are well decorated and a series of soft indicators.
to compare housing prices in Beijing and Tokyo, it is unreasonable things. This is not only unreasonable, but sub-economic law.
the so-called sub-economic laws, can be very simple instructions. House is a rigid demand, vegetables are also rigid demand, in that case, house prices and Tokyo standards if reasonable standards of vegetables and Tokyo it is also reasonable. So, if the price of cabbage to a level of 40 dollars, our national acceptable?
is clearly not acceptable, everyone's wages will not buy international standard cuisine.
being the case, how can we pay to buy international practice room it?
in vegetables, rice, clothing, taxi, subway and the prices are not, when international standards,
air force one low, housing and Tokyo standards to ridiculous.
really want to practice, you should find a similar income countries and China , it is saying integration was Duijin Er, why are not experts in this research?
This is my place and so little people do not understand.
Here, the house has been sub-economic laws of China, about nothing to debate.
not, people will have plenty of reasons people around the world have come to Beijing to buy a house. Moreover, China's wealth is concentrated in few hands, they could afford, like Tokyo, as international practice room. There is also a specialization argument Beijing, that Beijing is China's housing prices, DC, the National People have to buy Beijing room, so it's prices have gone up again.
residual sense in my view, it is unreasonable to Beijing to buy the world's people, in addition to business in Beijing, I am afraid may not be as much. I have a relative in Sydney, Australia (1 hour drive from the city center) bought a villa with a swimming pool, the price better than the so-called villa high in Beijing, and then tell me my yard, there are fifty or sixty trees...
Ok, this environment, if you have taken in Australia due to work on the Beijing international friends to buy a house why?
So rich it? As for China's wealthy
affordable housing, and even can buy several suites, that is quite true sense. However , we should not forget that the majority of real estate in China is not in accordance with the standard design of the rich, or to the people's standard of living. The rich can buy a house to fry, to hedge against inflation, but will not buy a house to live alone seven.
buy a flat to live every day of the toilet stool in this unit, the unit's bathroom to urinate, not a happy life, but the performance of ID systems
burning package eventually the houses consumers, is still locked civilians.
course, if the \ And if white-collar workers in China have such a wealth of middle-class standards and achieved such a huge number, it is a blessing for China, said China will age into the healthy and stable development. Unfortunately, I saw many little white-collar workers can not afford to buy housing.
by their parents? Pension money in the future but also their parents use, sooner or later also, you do not also, society was still.
The SAR of Beijing's housing prices, I do not recognize this account. Because housing prices across China are rising, housing prices in Beijing than in other places with high, one important reason is the high base. The difference between Beijing and foreign prices, no higher than prices in Tokyo, Japan and the field differences. This can not be regarded as the SAR, but we are facing a crazy real estate prices in all the time.
unreasonable things you can do, such as people who eat the sheep to eat an industrial revolution. But something substandard economic laws, economic laws will be subject to retaliation.
specific to China, is who ultimately pay for the high prices?
expect foreigners is unlikely, if prices in Beijing are to international standards, where living conditions are not that attractive.
is impossible to expect the rich, they buy a house is for speculation, if your pay, do not mean to drop the hands? Who would not like that silly. China's house, apparently the problems facing the whither.
Although Bangchui, but whatever the outcome is a live Sa thirty years of living large is not, never seen pigs run, also not seen the pork? In my opinion, the problems facing the Chinese house, too \
first, to maintain this price, is to go wrong.
second, jumped to a problem.
Third, prices should go wrong.
Also, a big problem is Wangdangwangguo.
not up, not down, can not maintain the original price, what is called TMD reason for this? We Laijiang Jiang
it.
that problem is relatively simple to maintain the original price, because now the price has been the people called the three mountains, we can not afford a. Otherwise, we are not going to talk a house problem, the newspaper does not talk. You say that if price is no problem ... Should be no problem, we will not discuss it altogether.
not rise, because the current prices have been the equivalent of a gold ring sold for the price of ice cream, rise about who to sell it ? Currently, a Chinese white-collar income, you can dig ten thousand yuan every month the loan it? But also have a?
goods from pure real estate point of view, the answer is obvious. However, a friend's house now that China is not a house, but a financial derivatives. These words are too brilliant, and the normal price of houses and other commodities should be a reasonable rate,
air force one 25th, not a single show. Speculation in financial derivatives is something today's prices, we can already see elements of speculation, and even the shadow of hot money. Because the purpose of speculative gain unusual wealth, house prices rise, the situation will be similar to the American Samoa that the Black Friday crash of the stock before the mad cow , the Chinese economy not a good thing. I do not believe that China's leaders, if not ready, see the current soaring prices will not be afraid. Stability is the top priority of Chinese society, which are soaring thing, definitely a great destabilizing factor , but also China's ruling party has tried to avoid things.
gains, not impossible, but difficult to maintain a stable high prices, because that is not really affordable price.
house is a rigid demand, if it can not afford Zaguomaitie, the only result is to house the popular uprising occurred in this uprising and for the same reason people their jobs, because both are rigid demand. The consequences of the uprising for their jobs, everyone knows that the ruling party.
up, is a first reflected the political problems in the economic field.
So, people can not afford under the real estate if there will be substantial price cuts it?
from the perspective of economic rationality, it should lower prices. You like a radish fried durian prices to the end, it should return to normal price on. This is the economy, the \
China, however, this is unlikely, at least, not slashing prices.
Why?
First, although the current price is unreasonable, but it is in line with economic laws from the high land of high prices, and the high authorities of the city land a major source of income. Meanwhile, the monopoly of real estate business, rejected the same house as the kinds of cabbage everywhere, the possibility of healthy competition. As long as we can afford Zaguomaitie room, the real estate business is no need to lower prices. Costs are high, and selling out, business, and money does not make a king X eggs, why should real estate prices?
soccer rules to talk about football, playing basketball to talk about basketball rules, and businessmen about social conscience and sense of responsibility, no different from playing soccer when the rules suddenly change into volleyball, the fault is not unscrupulous businessmen, And talking about himself.
not rationally expect the people to buy a house, forcing real estate prices is a good way to go almost succeeded last year, Beijing had the room and even down to the peak of the 2 / 3, but was destroyed in the global economy storm struck. Today, this road is not good to go, because people have been forced to house the evidence is not normal is not normal to find very good, you ask now while queuing to buy a house while condemning the high prices friends, they have Who is now concerned about the quality of the house?
buy a house how can you not care about quality? The crucial point of the house just because of price, we are afraid of him to continue to rise, the results led to a strange frenzy of real estate.
wildfires once ignited, who can not fight, standing wildfire among rational, will only be fired Jie.
So, you can not expect the authorities to suppress real estate prices, or policy-making real estate prices forced it?
is unlikely, because it means that the suicide.
the downfall of the Kuomintang authorities, Jin Yuanquan to bear a great responsibility, because Jinyuan Quan snatched away our wealth. A cow that you value the money for a return to Jinyuan Quan, two boxes of matches for the rest of the money. That the authorities do not hate you definitely out of my mind.
skyrocketing real estate prices through the years, the real estate business successfully in China, established a broad cross-section support their own.
the \
said, the President, the Prime Minister, HE bald discuss how to make the cat eat the chili problem. He bald that, grabbed the cat, from the mouth into Barcelona, it will eat. The Chairman said abrasive, not a good way. Prime Minister said that the meat and chili mix, cats get hungry, eat . The Chairman said that it was hungry and so, a million years too long. We said, the President, how do you do? The Chairman said that the cat's ass painted with hot pepper, it will lick to eat, and can lick pepper complacent...
President to dry real estate, has long been made.
each house slaves, before the purchase, are opponents of high prices, and after the purchase, are the defenders of high prices.
encounter many children in Beijing, although two-thirds of one month's salary in the mortgage and take a white-collar workers with Yang Bailao like flies, but scolding unscrupulous real estate side (also ultimately attack the speech), side teeth white vermilion, with a peach face.
Sa pondering a bit this paradox, suddenly understand a truth
the original, although they have tremendous pressure, but I'm unhappy .
because they bought the house prices rose, the original eleven thousand square meters \
unintentionally, their wealth increases geometrically. - Although most of the hands of only one room suites slave friends can not deliver the money.
days, they will support the real estate price reduction it?
they are slaves, is rich.
dropped back in 2006 if today the price of the house,
nike air force one low, house slaves who find themselves living in the Banjiu house, the monthly repayment to the banks with high credit, and owe the bank enough money to buy two sets of own living room!
this case, their response was robbed do not own it?
real estate business made a lot of slaves, is the most successful kidnapping of a group of ################ supporters.
Now, the most troublesome is that the Chinese authorities the event of great social upheaval, the real estate business can go abroad, the Administration will not escape.
, the Chinese how to do?
with people saying, \
However, one thing is quite strange.
strange thing is, \ It can be seen, the current prices, the Chinese authorities seem to be interested in indulgence. Even watching the latest news in the policy mentioned in the introduction to curb real estate, which is merely contain \ In other words, the slow growth is encouraging, at least not blame the real estate business have been asking too much meaning.
authorities from land prices, access to great benefits, and now by the huge profits of the real estate business seems to some relationship with the authorities. But if the lust that, in order to get money on the stove to bake their own, I do have a little underestimate the Chinese authorities, and the skin, the hair stand? A related party for so many years had a pass,
nike force one, and not just use luck to explain.
faintly visible behind the high prices driven by the authorities, other than the interests of the individual factors that there is a last resort.
gorilla zoo running, and called the vet is a move to the South China tiger is also let out a move to deal with apes.
skyrocketing real estate now, let me feel a little awkward to put out the South China tiger
China's real estate prices, what price should be, based on income can be speculated. Therefore, the external real estate prices over last year's Beijing million, Sa should have been received that time. Authorities at that time seems to be no means to continue to support the real estate business, not the face of shrinking market has been positive. Such policies coupled with lack of purchasing power, we believe that real estate has lower prices.
is indeed a downward trend, but the real estate business going on the side, providing good policy for the high prices fueled a direct result of the current status of real estate insanity.
intervening opportunity, I am afraid that the increasingly grave global financial crisis.
in the world are struggling to support, the Chinese economy has given rise to the impression of thriving. This stood out to the hot from the real estate industry. Taking into account the United States planted in the real estate, this real estate is the sister of the South China tiger soft, and the financial crisis, it is escaped orangutan.
from harm than the idiom, you can understand the difficulties the South China Tiger release and hold not, ah, the outer case to be compressed to maintain economic prosperity, which is forced out of a move.
, of course, in addition to difficulties, but also benefit.
a large country that will not only make a move for a reason. Of the Cultural Revolution, do not understand this, it is difficult to understand what happened during the Cultural Revolution, of cross-strait relations, do not understand this, can not understand the game between the KMT and CPC.
However, in front of the abyss, unless you take the money and run, otherwise, and the two housing crisis is inevitable, as you will inevitably face the danger of falling into the abyss.
the ruling party were not Bush, not only do eight to go on. Therefore,
nike air force, in order to continue to stay here, this abyss, we must own to fill.
how to fill it?
my idea of an ordinary person, it is estimated, the ruling may not be true to fill the abyss, but the Japanese hit came in, Mr. Jiang Baili said that \ house thing that it exists, is not no way to do.
Hussein to write this article, not for dissatisfied - that is useless, nor to criticize the real estate business, that is useless, but not to remind you to buy a house now is not when the investment can only be speculative - the more sober friends to understand. The real purpose is to think from a technical point of view, China's real estate issues, is not without solutions.
authorities have sufficient means to control the situation, and even a little to see that the control method.
not up, not down, can not maintain the original price, how do you make that?
reckoned it would take a bridge. This is how the bridge, from Tokyo to Beijing, you can also see some clues.
house said China \
I admit this is a solution, and may occur to some extent. In the world today calls for appreciation has been high, inflation is just partially alleviate international pressure, do both.
large-scale inflation in China has not worried about the most important reason is that exports will be hard hit, and hit exports, will bring disaster to the Chinese economy. However, if the Chinese economy to the real estate as a way of Salt, it may actually reduce the dependence on exports to the second. Thus, the use of inflation to solve the house problem, not a policy can not happen.
in today's financial environment, this risk is large enough.
How big enough, not need my analysis, A little bit of Economics friends appreciate an economic power like China a strategic devaluation of the currency will be what kind of turbulence in the world, yet not of it What will bring the domestic unrest.
However, this is not a large-scale inflation in China will not solve the housing problem by the necessary and sufficient conditions.
interests of the face, meat-eater's intelligence is difficult to predict.
However, another factor to be considered, yet we can speculate that China will deal with house price inflation as a means of regulation, not the main means. Sa The large wooden club do not think that China faces the risk of inflation.
The reason is simple, and the so-called interest groups unwilling to do so.
massive inflation, so Wang pain, also makes real estate a few years to get through a lot of RMB Group of pain, causing them to shrink the huge property. The current international financial market has not found large-scale foreign investment of RMB cash in foreign exchange or signs. This shows that gains from interest groups, but also stay in their own hands. If the scale of inflation is about to occur, the eyes and ears well-informed person would not keep their hands in so many financial products yuan or RMB, while they have the means to affect inflation is implemented.
There is a phenomenon worth pondering - currently a large number of real estate signs of hoarding land. This point, Saddam is no longer an example, and anyway, many of the recent reports in this regard, take a look at Beijing and other places the past two years the amount of land available and the number of development projects can.
house large-scale inflation to solve the problem, which means prices of other things, but the house and the land can not rise. In this case, under the current land purchase currency is bound to have a real depreciation. How can this crazy real estate business to hoarding of land?
hoarding land, because they believe can make a profit.
the interests of their own interests, so that they will not support large-scale inflation to solve the problem of real estate policy.
Wang might benefit from.
However, the problem still exists , the solution Where is the program?
Sa mentioned that Tokyo may be helpful to see. Some friends say that this is nonsense, ah, Japan's current economic depression, leg to stand on, we learn them?
imperialism has been a bad day go day by day we have been better, this is normal and does not prevent us from learning their side ah well
Japan, once the world countries with the highest rate ( now is not I do not know, I am afraid that China go beyond the possible), Tokyo, Osaka high price of housing, has caused enormous problems to the Japanese society. Ten years ago to Japan, the face of thirty million of the price of an apartment, my children of Chinese people have great liver quiver. Chinese people in Japan, sometimes find quite a number of achievements in the place where the Japanese colleagues can not seemingly kennel, the Chinese people can not afford housing, as the Japanese have such a problem.
high wages as Japan, China, it is not as severe back problems. However, in a mature society in which a white-collar workers to pay half or one third of the mortgage and still a crazy idea, sufficient for his family life into the unstable state, and to use their ballots with the authorities tolerate such a phenomenon exists destabilize.
year the Japanese authorities must have been brainstorming how to solve the problem under such a situation. And, because Japan was the high prices and no country can be, this solution can not be a headache must treat the head, feet hurt the disease thing.
now, Japan has been rising house prices over the past three decades, while the stability of Japanese society, but increasingly, that they are very effective moves, then, how do we not learn from it?
fact is that when I went to Japan after the discovery of a contradictory phenomenon.
That is, first, the prices high, even if there are some white-collar workers live in Jinling kennel; Second, many low-income people is home to a large spacious house, and everywhere, no one can see the empty apartment.
behind this phenomenon is that the Japanese authorities to address the high prices lead to social unrest questions.
-1990 1980's when the Japanese began to appear after the phenomenon of house prices, the Japanese have caught our current predicament. To address this is not up, not down, we still have problems up to God, not fall, the measures taken by the Japanese authorities Dajian public housing.
In Japan, the county (Province) has a large number of \ Used are state-owned land, buildings, mostly high-rise apartments, in addition to less traffic and more convenient, their quality is not lower than the ordinary apartment living.
It is this approach, the Japanese people can not afford housing bottom may be admitted to the municipal, prefectural housing, without the high price of real estate before becoming the foundation of social unrest...
saying here, an estimated impatient friends keep up words against Hussein - and Sa wooden club, ah, you do not understand the situation. We started early in China two houses built by the appropriate matter, but the effect is not like you wondering as well. The first number is not enough, the second out of five of the numbers can be selected to this program is simply an unsuccessful Mody.
ran. Although the wooden club, this child, Samoa, or know .
I have no way to get selected for can not spare the five associated to (according to China's current practice, there is no way Japan can not spare five associated to).
However, Japan's public housing and by the fitness of the two houses now, there is a fatal difference (of course not the difference between socialism and capitalism, all crows that Han), is different from the deadly Let us feeling that the Chinese authorities may be \
this hunch, but also because the Chinese authorities with a similar idea is to solve other problems too. The fatal
Where is it?
actually very simple.
deadly things, often very simple. Such as medical this mountain, the easiest solution is simply to move away the words \ different systems, Chinese medicine is feudalism, can be either Japan or China, do not much care when the corruption .)
house crux of the problem is as simple, but also words.
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