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67928 2010 年 03 月 22 日 09:45 Reading (loading. ..) Comments (0) Category: Personal Diary
China's inflation has not had time to fully digest the treatment to stop the economic crisis of governance, the advent of the current round of inflation-but the ferocity unexpectedly, the peak less than 12 years ago, when nearly 15%, 9% of India recently Inflation also proved this point. But before we have inflation in 2006 why the control is better? No more than two points: the high rising high school fees and medical room and the people most of the money will be caught; the second is the stock market remaining firmly off trillions of 5 years; people can not take the money to spend, social circulation less money,
la gear originals, inflation can not go up naturally. But the consequences are very obvious lack of social consumption, completely dependent on exports it!
current first point remains, if inflation under control will not immediately open the second reservoir, if inflation continues to uncontrollable,
la gear footwear, more than 3% or more, according to current trends that very likely, in February reached 2.7%, plane to New Year last year, low prices and the gap between current trends in the first half by more than 3% of the high probability event, in the second half will be close to 4% stock dividend Super broader market to reach 25 times the level of market rates to recover the following red on inflation, high housing prices is now the case of water to the limit, the second reservoir is inevitable bonus,
la gear womens shoes!
reservoir gate has been repaired, a few trillion size of Africa,
la gear on sale, at any time. So we have to keep inflation concerns the development of the next few years to avoid capital into the reservoir in the capital of the fish to swim! look at the foreign currency deposits
also know that money growth is the surge in deposits following statistics:
01 years is 15.3 trillion, in 2002 was 18.3 trillion in 2003 is 22 trillion, 04 25 trillion, 05 years is 30 trillion, in 2006 was 34 trillion in 2007 is 40 trillion, in 2008 was 47.8 trillion ; 2009 was 61.2 trillion in the last two years the growth rate regardless of the number of 53% and 21. bn are very large, the total amount of commodities in 2009 12 trillion, with 6 trillion in housing real estate, save more than 9 years increased by 3 times the growth of social commodities and other material received by resource constraints, may not be so fast, devaluation of tickets at least half, more money mess things up is not surprising! The same is true of real estate, not first-tier cities like Beijing and Shanghai, second-tier cities,
la gear, house prices and deposit growth rate is essentially the value added is about 3 times fairly, that is, from 1600 to 2000 yuan per square, rose to the current 6400 to 8,000 per month, while Beijing and other cities in 5000-7000 to about 01 yuan a square meter, according to the present value of inflation also should 24000-28000 per month.
essentially the level of inflation is in sync, and no more than too much, the reason why many people feel that housing prices rose too powerful, or most of the major income has not kept pace with inflation.
seen with the increase of currency deposits, the current annual growth rate of 10%, real estate prices will still be synchronized to increase,
la gear light, unless control the rapid economic growth and deposit growth, house prices will
down. However, as the employment pressure countries in the next 10 years is difficult to accept the 7%, below the economic growth rate, deposits will continue to increase, house prices will continue to rise until 2018 the next economic crisis comes around, like 98 years ago after the sudden drop in speed , real estate prices will have a major adjustment efforts, more than before this bull market will be similar to the stock market retreated. Even if the bottom line is to adjust the price at the time, total deposits and total deposits ratio in 2001 near the fluctuations.
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