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22126891 2010 年 03 月 23 日 12:04 Reading (loading. ..) Comments (2) Category: Personal Diary
central enterprises to withdraw from the Chinese real estate market, and was cheered that lucky, but some people worry about, so that the fierce storm coming! This prediction comes from a management analysis of the psychological phenomenon.
management there are two classic cases. First, the early human history, the American colonists of the slave trade. Transported to the slave trade from Africa to the Americas, which requires a long sea voyage and the management process. Slave trade began to follow a number of offshore approach points, that is calculated when the slave ship in Africa, the total number of direct billing to the Americas when ashore. This results in navigation process often delayed in the slave management slave, and some even directly killed slaves, in the middle of the part of slaves directly into the sea. Therefore, to shore to stay alive is very rare number of slaves. The latter, the capitalists have to change a way a small way that changes offshore (boat) Calculate the total number of slaves into the shore (disembarkation) basis. This small change makes the captain sent the slave traders have changes in their approach to treatment of slaves had to find ways to improve the slaves, the quality of life at sea on the way to ensure the maximum number of slaves to the shore, or, in a way to die direct result of the slave master to the economic losses.
Another case is the cake. A piece of cake, three were given three points, how to share fair. Rawls talked about, want to share three big as almost completely impossible, and cutting the cake will always be selfish people,
la lights, will own a cut bigger than others. So how to do? The answer is in the management system to do a little adjustment. Let the person cutting the cake to remain in power (cut the cake), but the cake cut, the cutting of the cake were the last to receive the cake that those in power, who was not involved in cutting the first collection. As a result, those in power to try to cut the cake was as big, in order to prevent the last remaining piece of
two cases have to explain a problem: managers, when management practices are not relevant to their personal interests, they often do things relatively fair. And when the management behavior and individual (group) interests are directly related to the time, it is difficult to do justice. The same principle applies to the Chinese stock market and property market.
China's housing prices, saying that white is a political issue or a management system problem. Have to understand one simple fact: the high land prices or fiscal policy, in fact, started to pull harm than GDP and the development of model type. And in recent years of From this simple fact that it is not hard to see why China's high housing prices since 2007 has been more the sound of people shouting rose higher, and even crazy? Equally, why do the same in 2007 at a high level of China's stock market will fall risk education in the management of a clean? There are state-owned real estate, the stock market were full retail (530 fled before the social security light).
the central level, as well as the central rate for the state-owned enterprises on behalf of the military or national character, in this division of the major interests of the cake, the Chinese real estate prices have been high is the real reason. This example also appears in the Chinese stock market from time to time. Every time after entering the social security funds, there will be a wild rose. Moreover, social security funds are not playing as long as the Chinese stock market generally will not fall, at least certainly not a It had been doubt whether this was a casual coincidence, or a specially arranged? Coincidentally, if there is more than three times,
la gear sale, no longer a coincidence, but inevitable.
Now, the central enterprises to withdraw from the Chinese real estate market, announced a year, it seems seems to be a positive signal, but the combination of these historical examples of this is not normal, we seem to view a real estate risk education to come. Once the central level (in particular, some state-owned enterprises) to exit the real estate market, it seems reasonable to speculate that the Chinese prices will usher in governance and violently tragic price plummeted.
the Chinese economy, this country and the people of the binary pattern of when to break, this is the key to economic problems. State-owned enterprises, especially the central level, is bound to be a combination of capital and power,
la gear sneakers, or the intermediate zone, the existence of this middle ground will distort the legitimate exercise of power, distorts the economic operation of market discipline, and even make policy formulation difficult to reflect the fair justice. State-owned enterprises, since it is the people's business, they still have to If the economic lifeblood of the industry in order to maintain the security, then the state-owned enterprises can put all or most of the profits of all taxes levied through the back,
la gear shoes, used for public welfare such as health, education, defense and other utilities go up, and should not be own business Imagine, Ping An, China Petroleum, China Mobile and a number of monopolies, if not the original policy support, where can there be today?
If you can not break this country, the people split dual economic structure, it is difficult to maintain socialist characteristics of Chinese society, it is difficult to ensure that will not go the way of state monopoly capitalism. Today's local government debt is a most obvious example of the phenomenon of the country back into the accusation that this problem also.
central enterprises to withdraw from China's real estate market, people in the feeling against these If policy makers really did not interest the public pie, and then control the intensity and speed the time to start would be quite vigorous and resolute, then, is China's high prices really began to crash. At least, that come up in the management analysis is possible. Therefore, the phenomenon of high prices governance in China, the root cause is not whether the withdrawal of central enterprises, the root cause of the problem in fact lies in the financial and land interests. Only two strokes can get to this phenomenon: First, the land revenue is independent of all the accounts obtained full funding for the protection of housing construction, to ensure that first-tier cities (such as Beijing, Shanghai) the protection of housing price is less than 2,
la gear originals,000 yuan / square, and amount must be accounted for national security room housing more than half of total supply (too little will not achieve stabilizing role, and will be like as the year of affordable housing in disguise for those who are rich and powerful.) Second, the central enterprises (all state-owned enterprises) in the real estate market profits (in fact, in fact, with trading profits) or 80% of the total collection, account independent, full for the social utility, such as education, health care, so as to reduce the people's health, education and other living costs, improve people's livelihood. The amount of money and use the account completely open or directly by the Prime Minister, so that can benefit from this chain of them stripped off, automatically opt out of the ranks of real estate, of course, prices also dropped down automatically.
so in the year 2010, private real estate investors also hold if in the hands of the hoarding of housing, preferably within a year quickly ship, to avoid the pain by jumping off a building when the bear. Hong Kong's history of high housing prices bubble burst, so many rich overnight,
la gear, become a street bum lessons of history, is now the real estate speculators who may wish to read the gossip valuable information. Disposed of until all of the central enterprises to escape the dangerous place, the stay in the Where not long
ugly acne? Someone else's face.
play which will not hurt your mouth? Other people's mouths!
This is a psychological analysis on the management, not necessarily a reality, we expect the management of this phenomenon is not unfair to occur in the future.
tags fiscal effect of high prices of central enterprises in China
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