| Back to logs list
Reprinted from 113721802 at 08:12 on August 20th, 2010 Read (loading. ..) Comments (0) Category: Personal Diary
How many highly anticipated, and finally wait until then: It is said that Japan's GDP in the second quarter of this year was 1.2883 trillion U.S. dollars, GDP was 1.3369 trillion U.S. dollars in China, more than the Japanese! Although not a full-year data, but it seems that Japan has more than year-end ranking to mention, we also have a proud capital.
can not say the size is not important. Can not say that the data is completely nonsense. But honestly, I always thought that the composition of GDP majority of the world's second nonsense.
First, the China's data, the authenticity of what in the end, how much accuracy in the end, do not I say? Various parts of China according to government statistics, we had already surpassed Japan for many years it! In 1958 we will Overtaking it, so what?
Secondly, the second gold more problems. We all know, is how we heap out of GDP. Growth was mainly driven by investment,
la gear light, mainly by government investment, effective? This growth can improve the country, the accumulation of national wealth it? Can improve people's quality of life for it? Can enhance the strength it? Instead, in many cases played a negative role! Performance projects that officials, corruption works, harm the public works people swept, of course, increase GDP, but a waste of resources, reducing the social wealth, but also hurt our country, society and the public!
Third, even if the two no problem, it also depends on where the wealth is used, is not really improve the public welfare. We ask ourselves: How do Chinese people's happiness index? Chinese people's feeling of happiness to the world's second level of it? Do not have to do social surveys (Do not come up with Gallup to do a Take a look at some of the top countries (U.S., Japan, Germany, Britain, France - GDP per capita does not say that high, higher social welfare, Switzerland, Sweden and other countries), which country is a big country out immigrants? We Chinese do, the number of migrants abroad, the number of immigrants coming in? Even those who head to the name of the world's second rejoice, proud proud officials, experts, citizens, immigrants have the opportunity and ability, there are a few to stay? I do not blame these people, choose the good life is a human instinct, but also human rights, this is not a question of value judgments, not a morality issue, but people tend to question the instincts. But the inner sense of happiness and the world's second mutually exclusive name of the first time, so there ass with the world's second!
Zhao
remember that sketch it? Zhao said, carrying a string of pigeon eggs: do not talk down to business, net crap out! Haha the end for nearly the.
on this issue, before I wrote a similar article. Tsinghua University, the beginning of So say no more to this post posted on this, be it the occasion of the supplement:
during the Spring Festival, to travel abroad, a surfing instructor in Hawaii to chat with me, I heard I was from China, and immediately tilt the two thumbs up gestures: China, China! Then reverse the thumb down again: the United States, the United States!
Indeed, the rise of China in the world, are all attention As a people, of course, proud of. A hundred years on the poor and weak, vulnerable to bullying, a country that for many years to solve the food and clothing are the basic pursuit of the country, after 30 years of reform and opening up, but still has the world's second economic output, but still has the world's Most of the foreign exchange reserves, actually became the world's manufacturing base of products to meet the domestic demand is not that also became the world's second-largest exporter, actually become the largest car market suddenly into a car society,
la gear sale, actually became the world's largest luxury goods market! - The international community the most intuitive feeling that the Chinese people have money: from Paris to New York, from Thailand to Singapore, from the Middle East to Africa,
la gear on sale, from Australia to South America, those well-known, non-famous tourist destination full of Chinese tourists , who threw million luxury shopping mall full of gold of Chinese consumers, shot the generous enough to Japan, America, Europe tourists shame, shortness of breath.
ourselves is how to treat this There is no doubt, a conviction is inevitable expansion, which from all the time,
la gear police, everywhere in the proud, the world turned its words and make camp out on the full show. Poor Zhafu, export Wu Qi is normal, cheering is understandable, but it can not long maintain such a state of mind. In particular, as a nation, as a big country, as a developing country still in transition, not to the upstart national mentality into the national mentality, national identity and national acts, but should be more in-depth thinking. At this time, cool is more important than the cheers.
In fact, we need to consider two questions: First, we really are A number of economic aggregates to represent Second, even if we have truly become We can take the appropriate national and the international community the responsibility it?
tell the truth, for these two issues, my personal answer is not optimistic.
First of all, this In other words, elements of which have great puffiness. Because statistical standards, methods, reasons, we increase the value of statistics, a considerable part and no real national wealth, and still remain in the As even some If a large number of performance projects, shabby, of course, the growth of GDP contributed, but it is a waste of social wealth. Government monopoly of land management to push land prices, real estate, extraordinary development, but also for the total economy increased significantly overweight, but more harmful foam. Although we can not accurately calculate the water and foam in the end of which the number, but there is no doubt should be higher than the developed market economy countries is much higher. So, if scientific computing, we really more than Japan, Germany might not be.
Second, even if we have a certain amount - not to mention is not the second, the quality of our economy is not high, but far from the real world with the second competitive. If not with Japan, Germany, than, even with other economic aggregates more than smaller countries such as Sweden, such as South Korea, such a small place like Singapore, we are in some important areas are so popular competitive disheartened. See our science and technology competitiveness ranking in the world now! Actually hovering over the years in the second, thirty, there is a decline in recent years. Although we shouted innovation, but innovation system is far from being established, a serious shortage of innovation, it is an indisputable fact, that situation, our economic growth, the proportion is far lower than developed countries, technological contribution, our GDP, more consumption of resources and rely on simple labor piled up. As China's national conditions, due to hard-working people,
la gear sneakers, add up, nature can form a large-scale economy, but its internal and external are hard to match.
Third, a greater gap between our soft power. Undeniably, China's overall economic strength to improve, I position in the world economy has also increased, but the proportion of the world's economic output is still 6-7%, however, only a quarter of the United States, per capita is worse far away, beyond the dozens. Another key indicator - and imports of view, China's annual import volume up and down a trillion dollars, but not to the total global share of 7%. From the perspective of soft power, we fall far short of the economic indicators reflect the country's international status and competitiveness.
example, China has almost become the world's largest exporter, but only in goods exports. In the technology area of trade, service trade, we even close. Travel is more often the legacy of ancestors and the gift of God, we really rely on the creativity and competitiveness to put not on.
cultural influence and global competitiveness is not good measure, but at least the export of cultural products can be used for reference. What China is now capable of producing world of work? How many movies, television, books to export? Do not say that with the United States compared to other cultural exporting country, but even better than South Korea. Even in our local market, a large box office can import more than all the domestic movie box office that year, we can see is not what we sell ourselves short.
large-scale exports of goods in China, but the basic factors of production output is extremely poor. Technology? Which areas in which we are a global leader in technology, and can produce as well as promote economic and social development of the industry's great energy? Over the years the United States as the world's first, also has a large number of its global status of matching the world's leading high-tech. In China, technology behind this to make matters worse in recent years, the status of science and technology in the world is still falling. Small to provide a data :2000-2006, Chinese companies in the United States received a total of 3447 patents, patent from Japan over the same period was 241,000, and Taiwan is 39,000. Not ashamed of them. Management? Our macro and micro economic management, economic management for the contribution of the world be? The positive financial interpreted as a modern version of Keynes is not our creation, that socialism can save capitalism is not our invention. Toyota in Japan have caused a global revolution in business management, China's enterprises such as Haier Nissin high, many private enterprises Mao management law, if not many foreign companies to learn, to follow suit. System of innovation? Sorry, we can not be at all levels, not only for institutional innovation and exporting in order to promote external economic growth and even we do not even absorb other people to do bad things ready. Not to mention the output values, because we even contract spirit, sense of integrity based on the concept of market economy have not formed it, not to mention what any human values. These areas are not sufficient to provide affordable achievement or contribution, this
also have to mention is that we, as economies of scale on the Although we have 34 enterprises into the world top 500, but many banks, telecommunications, oil, electricity, railway, aviation and other monopoly industries and enterprises, operating income and profits derived by monopolizing the market, rather than rely on technological advances, management efficiency, service quality obtained, the typical
So, if we celebrate a Even if I believe that those who did not dare confidently optimistic answer: Yes!
should be noted, is
our current growth model is not sustainable from their own, from the outside, it is not copied. Look at our current growth, export-led negative, consumption-led unremarkable, basically rely on investment; and in investment, and rely on financial investment, state-owned investment and bank loans. Do not increase the growth, the growth should not get down. Industrial structure, regional structure, social structure, not only does not improve with growth, but increasingly tackle the backlog. Including environmental and resource factors, including excessive use of low efficiency and even loss of potential GDP growth in the short term, but in the long run is questionable. That there is a fatal flaw as well as unsustainable development patterns and growth, even to create
our own admission: from macro to micro, we have not given us a stable growth of system support. Chaos in large and small, can be attributed to the institutional level. Said the current system of international competition in the final analysis the competition, and we
So, I think, even if we are superpower, has become a global axis, but can really do), or the little bit of our own self-knowledge. Do not say no to that were on the front, even after some years became N0.1, and is also a low-key points well.
humbly believe,
la lights, tolerance to our great country, thinking and strategy.
Since
but articles on China, China has a film director sighed: behind the Chinese film I think these words mean the box office, but that the film technology. But I want to ask is: If the technology behind our film 50 years abroad, then there is the difference between the realm of art, many years thinking behind it?