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Old 05-19-2011, 02:00 AM   #1
wangsanyi475
 
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Default Pro football picks – revenge in pro football

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If we go on in our exploration for favourable NFL picks, and look at teams that are on a double “underdog revenge” i.e. they lost last two matchups versus their opponent as an underdog, we get a money making information: in 53.7% cases, its gonna be worthwhile to put money on that team. You have to say this is even more stunning!
I know you heard about revenge in many places when it comes down to sports betting,http://www.mkdinfo.com/hey/blog.php?...ntry_id=640300, only does revenge, when it comes down to NFL picks, have anything to do with making the right football picks?
When i look at this kind of trends, i like to get it done beginning with all games that suit that trend.
Now why doesn’t it turn out like in other sports, when favourites that don’t win get their revenge in following game? Simply because teams play limited number of games. And they are not excited and fired up for a rematch for so much time has passed.
This simple pro football system will get you 50-60 picks every year and one would have to have a good argument to oppose it.
Tom P. is football expert, on Toples Totals website,http://blogs.alternativefuse.com/blo...22&note=127161, which deals with free picks.
However lets have a look at what goes on if this match is supposed to be so called “underdog revenge” i.e. if team lost that last game as a dog. It seems that underdogs get some edge. (51.7% ATS). This comes as a stunner,http://openclg.com/pmu/index.php?do=...on-industry-n/, don’t you think?
Well, it does sometimes, other times it does not, just like with any other sport.
And why do previous underdogs get so fired about a revenge chance? Well,http://www.char-point.de/blogs/entry...sketball-Bets-, the truth is they truly aren’t all that eager to win that game. Since my observations are made watching a closing line odds, the only answer is: line has moved. Necessary line movement is merely 1 point to give us this kind of benefit. It is very likely since recreational handicappers put to much value on previous team matchups.
Taking a peek at last 20 years at teams that lost in their last meeting with their opponent and were favorites in that last game, you will find out that there’s no actual edge for those teams. This is the fact in both situations whether last game was played in current or one of previous seasons.
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