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134233 2010 年 12 月 08 日 18:42 Reading (loading. ..) Comments (0) Categories: Market changes
in the financial crisis, things on earth more and more confusing. Not only ordinary people, even the economics also do so.
February of this year, well-known economist Zuo Xiaolei President wrote an article called . China's general consumer prices, per capita GDP than China, 37% more than the general consumer prices in Thailand, an average of 30% to 40%,
new balance mens,
the same problem also occurs in the French commodity prices. She compared the price of a French-made clothing and apparel imports in the same price of RMB 11:1 in euro terms, the French domestic prices higher than prices almost doubled. She is also in the United States had the experience, such as California, US-made airport shop coat, in accordance with the exchange rate of 1 to 8, the price competition with special coat-fifths of import prices are less. If the exchange rate by 1 to 6.8, the spread even more. If the import and domestic airport compared to similar prices, the price difference is even more ridiculous. GDP per capita and the French more than 10 times higher than China; U.S. per capita GDP 15 times more than China.
hope. Ms.
raised questions left, but did not answer. There are two things, either, she knew the answer, but the inconvenience and said,
心事 - Qzone日志, she takes time to find the answers. Therefore, just saw this article, I Tingyou interested in trying to answer, but want to wait, but now can not wait, if wait, this is very good topic is likely to be drowned out, let us a loss of opportunity to grasp the real problem.
this survey and the community feel is consistent, so there are many national And human resource services in June 2009 ECA survey also confirms - Tokyo, Japan, following the four cities, Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong as Asia's most expensive city life. Beijing, Shanghai and Hong Kong City, respectively, the global 104,111 from the previous year and 98-bit, dramatically shot up to 26,
以后买个40平的房子就够了 - Qzone日志,28 and 29. In the Asian cities surveyed, the top ten, accounting for half of Chinese cities - Beijing, Shanghai, Hong Kong, Shenzhen and Guangzhou. In addition, Tianjin and other 10 cities ranked among the top 30.
If you take into account the June 2009 city property prices in China rose sharply variable, the ranking in 2010, China will lead the world and dominating Asia. At least no one can deny that China's housing prices and the prices are the highest in the world. The field survey of the time, Mr. Ice has proved in many fields the United States the fact that the price cheaper than China.
This is a very unusual phenomenon, people have been summarized as Thailand's per capita GDP more than 37% of China, France, 10 times more than China, while the U.S. 15 times more than China, why China's price but higher than Thailand, France, the United States?
This is obviously the
existence is justified, the world as long as the abnormal phenomenon, there must be a reasonable explanation, the phenomenon of high prices in China is no exception.
the most vulnerable to repeated mention of a .
China's macro management costs (mainly government cost) is the highest in the world. Since 2009, China's fiscal revenue (including land transfer fees) has reached about 30% of GDP, the ratio of individual countries in the world only to the Nordic. However, the difference is with the Nordic, Sweden and other Nordic countries, the welfare state is the highest in the world, Swedes enjoy China is the world's low-welfare state, education, health care, pension, housing, money, etc. Most of the grave to pay their own nationals.
this is not all the pressure on people, domestic residents also bear the cost of non-statistical range,
new balance sneakers, such as a variety of road charges. After the collection of fuel tax,
new balance shoes, road pricing should have cancellation of various,
new balance outlet, but did not. The cost is still growing among exhausted, such as 70-year land use right auction and bidding, have made land-use cost is very high, but recently, did not cancel the premise of this system in some places and maintain the property tax in the making, the property tax in disguise, although it can inhibit certain practical and reasonable speculation,
new new balance shoes, but in real terms for the double taxation.
serious local protectionism around the greatly increased cost of goods sold in the domestic logistics to further increase the burden on enterprises, these costs will be passed on to consumers.
from the foreign economic and trade relations, thanks to the export tax rebate policy, this policy is the essence of tax subsidies to foreign consumers, but the fleece,
不开心时来看看 - Qzone日志, the income gap is bound to be passed on to domestic goods, causing the domestic price higher. And foreign business income of China's anti-dumping and special protection punitive taxes, of course, enterprises should also be passed on to domestic consumers, or to cut corners to absorb external domestic product subsidies.
this burden with a layer, the Chinese domestic goods how can not you? Performance in the real estate is particularly prominent.
the past years, priority implementation of the export-oriented policies, macroeconomic management in an increasingly high cost cases, exports of Chinese goods overseas, in addition to export subsidies, rely on is the hard-working and efficient, cheap labor and lack of security, to hedge against high macro-management costs, and thus a certain advantage in international prices.
priority in the export-oriented policy, labor If your labor, then export-oriented economy can not be maintained, then macro-management costs must come down, vested interests can not be expanded, and even can only shrink.
or this reason, China mainly relies on cheap labor and access to foreign exchange reserves, in the eyes of some scholars, it is absolutely not the way through the social security, transfer to the domestic national income and domestic consumption, China's central bank foreign exchange reserves can borrow nearly trillion dollars the U.S. government, but the law can not lend the Chinese government (for the Chinese social security) penny.
Chinese macroeconomic management costs in the past 20 years, swelling, administrative expenditure and government investment continues to expand. The current government administration costs, investment expenditures, respectively, accounted for 18% and 25%, far ahead in the world. Loss due to administrative costs are expenditures, coupled with extremely low efficiency of government investment, the input and output rate of less than 0.5, which makes a large number of national wealth in the economic cycle is loss of flow out of the economy (in unfinished projects and repeated renovations the road as the representative), making China's banking sector declining money multiplier, the minimum or even to 3.5 (generally 8 international), economic activities necessary to ensure liquidity, the central bank continue to send money over to form the actual purchasing power of the RMB the devaluation of the overall purchasing power of civil society continue to shrink relative to domestic demand and GDP ratio dropped to unique world power 35%. Ie M1, M2 growth rate far exceeds the corresponding rate of GDP, the government revenue growth well above the GDP growth rate,
new balance 574, while the growth of per capita income far below the GDP growth rate, the proportion of domestic demand GDP is shrinking.
this series is the root of the problem - this is a market-oriented economic reforms, the administrative and political system becomes less lag results. In the absence of effective control agent of public authority, they tend only to the responsible, not responsible for the public, the public also no way to force him to serve the people. Capital market economy with rent seeking, making increasingly high administrative cost of investment capital, profits and power, often through public power transferred to the public and law-abiding corporate body, will eventually form the Chinese goods than Thailand, the United States expensive strange phenomenon.
be noted that because of the global financial crisis, the boom-bust in external demand, as domestic people, the largest commodity - housing prices have reached the public under the limit, the existing track has come to an end. In other words, China's administrative system and political system optimization will have to enter the countdown, if the initiative to reform, can be of harm into, if the Chinese macro-management cost can be reduced to the general level of Western countries, China's domestic demand is very low now and 35% to 60% of the general, then China's economy will still be 20 years of scientific development, the great rejuvenation of Chinese nation as reasonable.
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