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Old 09-04-2011, 08:34 AM   #1
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Default Chopper 2010 cost control entire 3 bombs into du

chopper: 2010 price control all three bombards into mute bombs
- A

1, starting from the end of 2009, behind distinct round of multi-market regulation, regulation of prices in front of the New Deal is to play the role of housing prices? Whether there are signs that the New Deal allowed housing prices to decline?
chopper: the exact time that a norm is April 17 this year, ten countries starting from May 1, has introduced the industry began to appliance the policy, financial policy and financial policy adjustments, merely for the mart form has been distort the statute of merit has no efficacy, these control method transmitted to the steel fist hit the market as cotton, futile. In truth, no 1 could see, no material how norm can really restrain the prices of the 3 nuclear weapons, not one and fire it.
three nuclear weapons,Nike Shox R3, one is to remove the developer's own chief ratio, the abolition of developers leverage in bank loans, which the Government can do, at all times housing prices really drop, the control of developers This is a must have, and now the developer's own funds in 2009, the proportion of the rescue, by 35% to 20%, equal to twice the bank from the enlarged to quadruple leverage, so the developer is concerned, it is easy to get colossal bank loans, new loans this year have taken away 36% by real estate, 3% higher than final year, what control you adapt what? Transferred to the end, developers are still no funding, so the real control to make the developer's own capital ratio to 50% or more.
two monetary policy actually does not push, just raise the deposit keep percentage five times, to decrease bank hazard is agreeable, but, despite raising the deposit keep percentage is likewise in the revitalization of mobility, whatsoever, because advertisement banks are mainly often unlock new loans, offset by raising the deposit reserve ratio for all effects, and can not be transmitted to the market, there is no effect on curbing prices. Interest rates, central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan has an explanation, is the production of 7 hex is cerebral, and now to 5 decimal is the product of the calculator, it sounds very reasonable, whatsoever,Nike Shox Menn, joined 0.02 fewer, in fact, amplified a year commerce and local government expenditures less interest loans can be more than 700 billion, 120 billion less retrieval of mobility. The central bank will now continue to take such measures, Mongolian people. When the central bank to raise interest rates to the real, and, in three or more times a year, that is the real control.
simply get out of three attribute tax. Now that the pilot attribute tax, put the property tax entirely out of fashion. Housing system as a important national initiatives have been a very serious matter, livelihood, care for long-term permanence of a country, must be levied along the country as a whole. However, out fknow next to nothing of long, did not come up with a however, do not not come out, but dare not touch the interests of officials.
can be seen from the upon three points, not to engage in the elementary regulation, neither any indication that prices will fall.

2, to the end of the year this year, the Shanghai property tax program looming, new purchase and the aggregate over 200 square meters or tax. Some people think that affordable housing of 200 square meters or more people are terrified to pay taxes that point, how do you think about this procedure? Property tax is to play a limited role of house prices?
Chopper: You may not see the Shanghai real estate tax collection program, a complete departure from the property tax is intended. National real estate taxes, mainly as a balancing machinery of social asset established in the operation, chiefly for families with multiple dwellings, heavily taxed, in Shanghai, became only the newly purchased residential property tax, which not only just a very funny thing, but a departure from the property tax levy purposes, he is a people's government of a new predatory exactions, only fueled the price is impossible to limit prices.

3, the future you portend if the Government will introduce regulatory policies? Control policies from the start what? How will the future price activities?
Chopper: The government has wit's end, house prices in 2011 namely destined to rise. General manager of Hong Kong investment bank Goldman Sachs Ha Jiming prophesy the first quarter of afterward year will be explosive growth in new loans, no equitable move prices up, and will have implications as inflation. The future cost trend, amount will be structured in loose-tier cities, and skyrocketing prices will most ample cities, and persisted to October next annual. Optimistic estimate, to the end of October next year, the chief bank will raise amuse rates double. If the central bank is not to raise interest rates, the housing foam will start to arise in the second half of 2011 regional burst. If interest rates twice, the housing foam can be maintained since May 2012 regional shattered,Nike Shox R3-R4 Combination, minced the entire second half of 2012.

4, a second-tier cities as Xi'an, the rate of the real estate bubble is not very high, this means that house prices relatively lusty. Second-tier cities, housing prices and first-tier cities are ups and downs a
Chopper: I did not do research of Xi'an, the rate of the bubble can not say, depends on a comprehensive appraisal of rental ratio, vacancy rate and price earnings ratio. However, this round of price mushrooms not reflect the value of housing, but housing prices caused by devaluation. Xi'an is also the use of RMB, accordingly, not chapter of Xi'an, the ecology of the things bubble in housing type, and are caused by rising inflation. Xi'an Change focuses on price alterations in the renminbi. If the yuan does not raise interest rates, but continued to depreciate, and that prices should rise, if the central bank began raising interest rates, and a decisive intensity, that it is also the price drip in Xi'an presently.

5, your knowing of the development of Xi'an and the future of real estate prices is anticipated to be like?
Chopper: I did a lot of second-tier cities in central research, however, the Central Plains and western regions of the learn is small. Housing and population, future population of the city magnetic to huge real estate development there, but space does not mean that housing prices. I appeal to the nation's second-tier basic assessment of the urban population does not Xi'an, that is, not the West arrangement came ten. Next five to eight, second-tier cities in inland China is merely one urban population may surpass 10 million, that is, Changsha, Zhuzhou, Xiangtan, the size of intensive development, will bring the population burst, other cities will not go.

6, recently, numerous human now roaming Xi'an,Nike Shox Dreams, in the end shot to buy a house alternatively continue to wait and see, talk about your outlooks.
chopper: October 2008, the government publishing money to support the crazy prices, breaking the law of value and economy laws,Nike Shox TL3, so I do not buy anybody suggestions. Each family is different, intended to buy a house and Chibidaigou ought buy for their own actions, and not listen to other people's so-called proposals. However, there is no investment value of China's housing bubble will damage sooner or later.

7, Xi'an, you meditation how many per square measure prices reasonable? Why?
chopper: it is even harder to mention. Xi'an, a city like the development of future economic and population are thought neutral, has not assist afford and demand determine prices, price income ratio, rental ratio, the vacancy rate can not unravel such a metropolis of Xi'an prices. Reason that,Nike Shox OZ, because currencies have not the same, Xi'an prices is complicated to return to 2008 levels, my impression of Xi'an in 2008 prices in 3200-3600 yuan range. The price is reasonable.


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