Daily Jolt: Spring No Time to Panic,
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The Daily Jolt is a potion of baseball reality every weekday.
Can you feel it? Spring is in the ventilation. Real, actual baseball games were played Wednesday in the Grapefruit and Cactus Leagues. The arrival of baseball games is mostly jolly for fans, even if the contests mean nothing and their preference actors bring an end to ... doing wind-sprints in the outfield by the fourth inning. But it be able to,0 also fetch,0 a bit of solicitude.
Winter is mostly morose with the next nine innings by far away, merely it is also a period for boundless optimism. Squint hard enough among the leafless trees and falling sleet and you can almost look Carl Pavano pitching 200 innings. Maybe that's why Spring Training can reason a little horror -- all it takes is 1 bad begin to shatter the wildly optimistic construct of the 2009 season we've spent all winter putting together in our heads.
So let's acquire,0 this out of the course right immediately, before we turn,0 too distant onward into Spring Training or diverted by the fast-approaching World Baseball Classic. Spring mathematics design,
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Tigers fans ought no worry that free-agent appending Brandon Lyon gave up 3 escapes scampers in their spring opener, neither ought they be too incited approximately new catcher Gerald Laird's double and triple in his first game dressing the Old English D. Red Sox fans ought not be cared that Tim Wakefield's knuckleball didn't knuckle quite right opposition the Twins, nor should White Sox fans reside up in the night,0 since,0 opener reliever Octavio Dotel surrendering three runs himself.
There's just not real priority as reading anything into representation before April. Cliff Lee had one 8.31 ERA last spring and went on to win the AL Cy Young Award. There was nothing in those results to indicate a breakout performance was coming. His teammate, Travis Hafner, beat,0 .333 and had a ruinous year in 2008. NL Rookie of the Year Geovany Soto hit .222 and didn't go deep once last year in the Cactus League. He hit .285 and slugged 23 homers once he got to Wrigley Field. Barry Bonds hit a comparatively paltry .289 in the spring of 2004. He emulated that up with a .362 average and an absurd .609 on-base percent in the regular season. That same year, newly-signed closer Keith Foulke posted an ERA of 15.00 because the Red Sox in the spring, inciting hysteria along New England. He ended up notching 32 saves and closing out Boston's at first,0 World Series competition in 86 years.
And I could go on (and on and on and on).
The point is that there's very little predictive worth in these spring games that we all enjoy so much, and that manner there's no sense getting worked up over a bad outing from a pitcher or a slow-swinging slugger.
That's a general rule of thumb, not a hard and quick motto. If a starter penciled in for your team's circulation concessions nine hikes in a spring excursion like,0 the Giants' Noah Lowry did last year, go right along and move the huge red clasp. Ditto whether the aging 30-homer-a-year slugger in the middle of your team's array shows up looking more emaciated than a supermodel.
In most cases, though, it equitable isn't worthy,0 the heartache. The spring specimen size is also little to glean a whole lot from it, and that file is beyond tainted by the nature of the games, where the outcome is less momentous than getting all the kinks worked out ahead the season, than ensuring namely your curveball is snapping off and that the gaping aperture in your wag is closed.
So sit back and enjoy the fact that baseball is back. There will be plenty of time to worry in just a few weeks.
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