利比亚问题与石油：利比亚问题将陷入长期僵局

，谁也吃不了谁。石油价格将长期保持在USD100 以上。油价这波上涨与08年的急涨急跌不同，必然是长期在100美元以上迟缓爬升,gucci for women。
　　2.欧元与日元：10年欧元危机与11年日本大地震后，欧元与日天职别被神秘力气托起，而 后连翻新高。 无论是从负债程度，仍是从资产回报水平，欧元与日圆都不足以支持现在的汇率水平。笔者以为，有人在制作欧元 与日圆的「堰塞 湖」，特殊是日元——缓缓地托起，然后忽然地摔下，以此制造一场大通缩。
　　3. 黄金与白银： 现在买黄金白银就比如5000点进入中国股市，赚钱是小概率事件。这一波黄金为什么会涨？就是为了把油价抬 到USD100以上，进而引爆各国的通胀问题。劝告那些当初还在炒以人民币计价的黄金期货友人最好歇手，由 于以美元计价的黄金涨幅终极会被国民币升值的幅度吃掉。 至于白银么，已经进入了顶部拉升阶段。
　　4. 中国通胀问题： 中国的通胀是输入型通胀：以石油价格上涨带动原资料的上涨，以大量外汇涌入带来本币超发,red wing chukka。千万不要信任“2011年下半年有效节制通胀”的鬼话。以中国央行目前掌握通胀的手段：数目型控制（进步 存款筹备金率）跟本钱型控制（加息）无法解决基本问题。摆在央行眼前的只剩下人民币升值这条不 归路。
　　中国央行目前控制通胀可用的手段如下：
　　1. 下策： 继续加息加存款准备金率，人民币继续升值；以行政手段压力煤电油等因素的价格，人为压低CPI 。
　　2. 中策： 对热钱涌入预收10-30%的危险计提金，并明白表态必要时推出联系汇率制度。
　　3. 上策： 推广食物券制度，加大对社会底层的福利投入（特别是是对农业及农民的补助），对高耗能产品、环境传染产品出 口征收特别环境税。 同时废弃根据CPI调整金融政策的做法。
　　现在各国的日子都不好过，就看谁先逝世；谁能多坚持5分钟就能博得成功。只要中国不再替美 国消化通胀,christian louboutin booties，石油价钱在USD100以上，美国的CPI也就要到达5%左右，美国国会必定举办听证会请求政府把持通胀 ，中国的通胀问题也可得到临时化解。只有中国能保持到两房债券全体还本付息，当前美国想用金融手腕搞中国将 是难上加难。
　　如果中国政府未能及时调剂金融及财政策略，中国很有可能陷入一场大通缩。
　　第二条类似于金融锁国，第三条相似于让利于民。中国央行那帮人都是被凯恩斯主义及货泉主义洗过脑的，他 们又心存幸运不舍得割舍好处，只有到问题极其重大他们才会被动地做出反映。
　　5. 中国楼市：请不要拿中国的M2说事，那些被房地产固化的货币不属于流畅中的货币。在现有的接洽汇率制度下， 以中国政府目前的调控手段不足以控制房价继承上涨，如果哪天中国房价下跌，最大的杀手就是日元。目前中国未 做好应对房价下跌的预备，房价下跌中国则陷入大通缩，实体经济随房地产一起死掉。剧烈的通货膨 胀+ 激烈的通货紧缩无疑发布一个国家实体经济的死刑。
　　6. 人民币升值： 这多少年中国股市及楼市玩的都是人民币升值预期。现在欧元及日元被人为托高，如果欧元及日元对美元汇率下跌 30-50%，即便人民币对美元汇率不升值，大家也会感到人民币被高估了，中国股市与楼市还玩的下去么？
　　7. 短期一个主要指标： 看一个月内美联储是否加息。假如美联储加息则表明美国乐意维持目前各国货币间绝对的均衡，QE所制造的美元 将持续缓慢流入其他国家； 如美国不再一个月内加息，则新印刷的美元会加速流入其余国家， 这些国度的资产价格将会进入最后的疯涨阶段，然后暴跌。
　　8. QE：QE的本质就是印刷新的美元去偿还那些老的美元债权。 会不会有QE3， 我不晓得。 等老美的债务还的差未几的时候做作就不须要QE了。等老美需要为他们的新能源工业搞一次大融资的时候，天然 就会有强势美元政策了。
　　9. 三年后再来反思一下08年的金融危机：为了维持美国政府的及美公民众宏大的财政及福利支出，美元管理者们滥 发美元；为了维持美国大众的生涯水平，他们发明出了不拘一格的金融产品接收那些超发的美元- 这种做法叫“金融立异”。 当金融创新这个花招玩不下去，大批美元行将回流到现货市场造成更大范围的通货膨胀时，美元管理者们人为地制 造了一场“通货压缩”--也就是08年的那场“金融危机”。其他国家政府被吓坏了，纷纭开动印钞机应答“通货紧缩”。由此，美元变成 了一群被滥发的货币中最不烂的那个；美元危机化解了，其他国家的货币危机降临了。不得不否认，美元治理者们 是一帮哲学家也是一帮艺术家。
　　10. 中国房价与通胀：请大家不要抱怨通胀之祸了，09-10年，哪个中国人的房产不增值了一倍，那么农民出产的食粮是不是也该涨一倍呢？？生平最恶感一边自吹“我 的屋子增值N倍了”一边骂娘“物价又涨了，GCD还让不让人活”的舆论。中国的农夫无法享受房产增值的快感 ，中国农夫无奈长期赔本经营。最有权力抱怨通胀之祸的是农民。
　　11. 不要埋怨社会制度的分歧理,christian louboutin cheap，更不要被洗脑。金融问题的本源在社会轨制及文明，单纯看着K线图， KDJ， MACD这些指标做投资就如同看着后视镜开车。难怪索罗斯自称为“业余哲学家”.
　　11. 2013年前投资策略： 如果你有投契才能，则可继续享受这最后的猖狂。 如果你没有投性能力，则应当悄悄地等候。笔者预计人民币的历史性光辉将在2012年前停止，人民币的资产泡 沫将在2013年前幻灭。现在应该开端斟酌跨境投资了。 将来很美，必定很美，条件是咱们还活着。

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Reprinted from alumni of the user at 17:05 on May 31, 2010 Reading (loading. ..) Comments (0) Category: Community Map



as regular smokers, the lungs began to gradually weaken, not the normal running of gasp, and particularly sputum, may I ask what to eat to clearing the lungs, do not tell me to eat what medicine is food.
Qingfei foods such as carrots, pears, mushrooms, milk, honey and so on. Qingfei pear: to thirst,new balance mens, heat cough and so on.
inside hollowed out of a practice is to, put Ruchuan Bei, rock sugar,new balance running shoes,This summer is really hot Yeah - Qzone log, honey, cooking.
Second, with Peel and cut the block, and then into the steaming bowl, the bowl and put on the best rock sugar, cooked to mix honey, best eaten while hot.



Third, even the skin into pieces, and papaya, candied, pork bone soup together, there Qingfei hot, appetizer effect.
Fourth, after the white fungus bubble, and the pear into the cold water in the soup together, then add according to taste different to wolfberry, dates and so on.
addition, you can trace and mud into a pear cake, add rock sugar after eating, but also heat, cough.
always pay attention to Chinese food and medicine source and attaches great importance to improve the diet by regulating the body's resistance to diseases, therefore, to achieve the increase by raising lung immune function of the therapeutic effect is worthy of recognition. However, it is clear that food should first understand the efficacy of food, such as the consumption of white radish, with phlegm, cough is more appropriate; edible lily, to porridge, boiled water to drink was better; consumption of mung bean, suitable for strong fire within person; the fluid to heat the water chestnuts, eaten raw, boiled water can be. Meanwhile, people's individual qualities quite different, so take the time to symptomatic cases selected according to their own food, but also pay attention to not eat too spicy, salty, tired of other food. The following are several lung,new new balance shoes, lungs, Yangfeihuoxue soup porridge, according to their own choose.



one or two kinds of Qing Fei Tang:
1, white fungus, lotus seeds, lily, pork ribs soup: Ingredients: 75 g white fungus, lily 100 grams, ribs 500 grams. Method: After cleaning the choice of materials into the pot with water and boil, boil for 3 hours.
2, Sang hundred leather, lily, pork ribs soup: ingredients: Mulberry 50 grams per skin, lily 75 grams, 500 grams of pork ribs. Method: Wash the choice of materials with water, and then be put into the pot to boil, boil one and a half hour.


Second, the lungs and white fungus soup: Ingredients: Tremella 5 grams, 50 grams of crystal sugar. Practices: the white fungus into the basin, soak in warm water for 30 minutes, until fat head through the City after the pluck, to pick impurities; the fungus tear sheet, into a clean pot, add water, amount to high heat after boiling , and then slow fire torment 1 hour, then add sugar until white fungus Dunlan up.


three, lungs and milk porridge: raw materials: milk 1000 grams, 100 grams of glutinous rice, sugar amount. Method: Wash the glutinous rice into the pot, add water, amount Wuhuoshaofei boiling down slowly after the switch to gentle heat, cook until rice blossom into the milk and continue to boil for 10 minutes, add sugar amount can be.



four,new balance outlet, duck soup: ingredients: duck, 150 grams, 250 grams of glutinous rice, wine, salt a little. Practice: first duck cubes; glutinous rice porridge with water,Eighteenth day his fellow brother, brother Road Ch, then add duck, a little wine and salt and cook until cooked porridge.




five, Duck Blood Soup: Ingredients: 300 grams of duck, Duck 150 grams (Do NOT add meat, because meat is hot, not suitable for high temperature gradually , dry weather in the spring and summer food.) Ingredients: yellow throat, eel, luncheon meat, bean sprouts, like the 100 grams, Chongqing hot pot material, foam ginger,new balance sneakers, garlic, monosodium glutamate, sugar, a little different. Practice: first duck cut into pieces, boil for a short bit of water on the frying pan using stand; came alive again in a few edible vegetable oil the ginger, garlic fry, feed into the Chongqing hot pot boil; Flavored Aohao after add duck, Duck, yellow throat, eel, luncheon meat, bean sprouts,A man will be silent reading the article - Qzone l, vermicelli, etc. until cooked (not cooked too old note Duck). Tip: As the saying goes, Therefore, this soft and smooth and very inexpensive blood tofu, then do not eat now, when?


Six, ham and winter melon soup: ingredients: ham, melon slices. Ingredients: onion, ginger, shrimp, salt, sugar, sesame oil. Approach: put the pot of water boiling, melon slices and ingredients will be after 10 minutes under the pot by adding ham, pan 2 minutes; pan before adding chopped green onion, sesame oil, salt, sugar. Tip: This soup light and delicious, to dry the lungs, for spring and summer consumption.